WinX-11 Seasonal Adjustment and Analysis

Also see review: International Journal of Forecasting (December 1997) Spanish Translation

WinX-11 is an easy-to-use Windows implementation of Statistics Canada’s X-11ARIMA/88, the worldwide and industry standard for seasonal adjustment and analysis. WinX-11 automatically reads more than 100 data formats including Excel and SAS files.

Now, novice and professional forecasters, alike, can refine business forecasts and achieve more reliable trends to safeguard their planning decisions.

Why Statisticians in Government, Banks and Industry Throughout the World Rely on X-11ARIMA/88

When unemployment, production, retail sales and other economic data are released periodically by government agencies, the indicators point to short-term trends and related economic and financial activity. Prior to releasing these important figures to the public, statistical agencies perform extensive analyses to adjust for seasonal fluctuations, which evolve continually from year to year. The method adopted by numerous agencies in government and industry worldwide is the X-11ARIMA/88 seasonal adjustment procedure from Statistics Canada.

The seasonal variations in agriculture, the high pre-Easter and pre-Christmas retail sales, the low level of winter construction are all general examples of the influence of seasonal fluctuations in society.

Analysts in many fields can use X-11ARIMA/88 for applications, which are continually evolving in areas as diverse as manufacturing, banking, insurance, energy production, utility regulation and government.

Forecasting Functions

X-11ARIMA/88 built-in ARIMA models
Select lengths of forecast horizon – to 3 years: 36 months or 12 quarters
Improved levels of acceptance for the fitting and extrapolation criteria
Automatic removal of Trading Day and Easter effects

Seasonal Adjustment Functions

Estimation of Easter effects
User-specified reports
Re-scale of original series
Increased accuracy of the asymmetric Henderson trend-cycle filters
Selection of the seasonal filters by default options
Temporary and permanent apriori adjustment of original values
Graphs of trading day and irregulars by type of month

Model Input and Reports

Modern Windows ‘point & click’ interface replaces complex commands and syntax
Flexible and automated data input automatically loads data files from popular databases, leading spreadsheets, statistical programs and forecasting packages
Re-usable templates and automated processing of model options and parameter settings means fast and automated processing for repeated use of standardized procedures
X-11ARIMA/88 output in Windows takes standard output for flexible printing, graphing and export
Windows desktop processing for independence and timely results so that you can get results in a timely manner on the desktop without dependence on service organizations.